Description: This paper addresses a study of surplus with the following goals in mind: 1. Determine surplus available for financing additional business, including new ventures. 2. Facilitate measurement of financial performance by line of business consistent with reasonable corporate goals. 3. Provide a mechanism for evaluating alternative strategies based on their estimated marginal effect on the company's ability to meet the above corporate goal. From Actuarial Research Clearing House ARCH 1988, Vol. 3

Description: The purpose of this paper is to survey some new results concerning the term structure of interest rates and discuss actuarial applications. The term structure of interest rates exhibits the relationship among the yields on default free debt instruments of different maturities. Although there is a considerable volume of literature dealing with the determinants of the term structure the analysis has until recently been presented for the most part in a deterministic i.e. non- stochastic framework. This constrasts with the treatment of capital assets where equilibrium prices have been obtained under the assumption that returns on these assets are random variables.

Description: This is the abstract for the referenced paper on the subject of Lundberg bounds on the tails of compound distributions. From ACTUARIAL RESEARCH CLEARING HOUSE 1980 VOL. 2.

Description: This is the programme of the 24th Actuarial Research Conference. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1990 Vol. 1.

Description: The purpose of this paper is to perform conjugate Bayesian analysis on the negative binomial distribution with the goal of providing a standard by which approximate credibility formulas and approximate predictive distriubtion may be judged. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, VOL. 1.

Description: This article considers the challenges that need to be addressed in the cost analysis of long range social insurance programs, which in the US is now over a period of 75 years. The main thrust of this paper is the consideration of population changes however, the effects of economic elements cannot be ignored. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, 1984 Volume No. 1.

Description: This paper presents a generalization of the principal current methods of financial decision making. In the way physical sciences benefit from new general theories that encompass those theories they succeed, the science of finance can benefit from the development of a general framework that encompasses many of the current methods of financial analysis. The paper develops a general framework for financial decision-making from a few simple axioms of rational economic behavior.

Description: It is the purpose of this paper to demonstrate in a mathematically rigorous manner that compound interest as usually understood is uniquely given by [l+i]^t for all real t.

Description: This papers considers the effects of taxing nominal rather than real returns from short term deposits. A system for taxing real returns is developed. The possible results from a change in the method of taxation, to the one proposed in the paper are discussed. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1991, VOL. 1.

Description: Random sum models with compound distributions are used extensively in modeling of insurance risks. Unfortunately, the compound distributions themselves are awkward to evaluate. Consequently, various numerical and analytical approximative techniques have been used. In this talk we derive various upper and lower bounds on the tails of compound distributions. Some notions in reliability theory are used.